AHK World Business Outlook Fall 2024 – Vietnam Results

German Businesses Show Resilience in Vietnam Amid Challenges

Ho Chi Minh City, December 11, 2024 – The global economy continues to experience sluggish yet stable growth, characterized by ongoing challenges and uncertainties. Amid these conditions, German businesses remain optimistic about the Vietnamese market. The AHK World Business Outlook Fall 2024 survey highlights German investors’ confidence in their business performance and Vietnam’s robust macroeconomic growth, underscoring the country’s appeal as a key investment destination.

Economic Growth Expectations

According to those results, 81% of surveyed businesses are positive as well as satisfied with their current operations, 50% expect business growth, 35% plan to increase local investments, showing an increase compared to spring 2024 (24%), and 35% anticipate economic growth in Vietnam over the next 12 months, while 54% are confident about Vietnam’s steady pace. Besides, 54% of respondents intend to maintain their workforce levels in the next 12 months while 35% plan to hire new employees.

In 2024, German investment in Vietnam reached new heights, reflecting a strong and growing partnership between the two nations. With over 530 German companies actively operating in Vietnam, the country remains a key market for Germany's global expansion strategies. German enterprises have invested an impressive $3.6 billion, showcasing their confidence in Vietnam's economic potential. These investments span diverse sectors, including manufacturing, advanced technology, logistics, and the rapidly growing renewable energy industry, underscoring Vietnam's pivotal role in supporting sustainable and innovative growth.

Risks and Challenges

In Europe, the economic outlook is underwhelming. Although German companies operating internationally remain optimistic about the future, they still remain cautious due to these global economic fluctuations.

These businesses have identified several key challenges stemming from this volatile environment. Chief among these are subdued global demand (60%), economic policy uncertainties (30%), and infrastructure constraints (27%). Other pressing issues include trade barriers (24%), increasing labor costs (22%), legal uncertainties (22%), and ongoing supply chain disruptions (22%), all of which influence the strategic priorities of German enterprises, including those in Vietnam.

Additionally, German companies are defining factors influencing their competitiveness in the Vietnamese market. The highest influences include the rising cost of preliminary products (47%), intense local competition (33%), and competition from third-market players (26%). These factors further underscore the complex landscape that businesses must navigate to sustain growth and remain competitive globally.

Opportunities

Despite challenges, German businesses see significant growth potential in Vietnam's promising market. Over half (53%) of surveyed firms have noted a positive competitive position over the past five years. Vietnam’s steady economic growth and strategic role as a manufacturing and export hub offer German companies a stable alternative amid global uncertainties, enabling supply chain diversification and risk mitigation.

The country’s focus on renewable energy and sustainability aligns with Germany’s strengths in green technologies, presenting vast opportunities for innovation and collaboration. A strong and growing German business community in Vietnam further underscores the potential for partnerships and joint ventures. By addressing challenges like infrastructure gaps and local competition, German firms can strengthen their presence in Vietnam and leverage their dynamic economic landscape to achieve sustainable growth.

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About the AHK World Business Outlook (AHK WBO)

The AHK World Business Outlook is based on an annual survey by the German Chambers of Commerce and Industry (DIHK), involving members of the German Chamber of Commerce Abroad, delegations, and representative offices (AHK). In fall 2024, the survey gathered responses from almost 3,500 companies worldwide and their global business partners.

With active participation from German companies in Vietnam and globally, the AHK WBO is highly regarded by economic policymakers, business leaders, media, and experts. It serves as a barometer of German business confidence in Vietnam, the region, and worldwide. The survey results guide evaluations of the development status of German businesses, trends over the next 12 months, investment plans, hiring plans, and German investors' macroeconomic expectations for Vietnam.

Survey participants: 39% of companies are from the industrial and construction sector, 41% are from the service sector and 20% are trading companies.

Survey period: from September 23, 2024, to October 16, 2024.

Delegation of the German Industry and Commerce in Vietnam (AHK Vietnam)

The Delegation of German Industry and Commerce in Vietnam (AHK Vietnam) is a part of the global network of German Chambers of Commerce Abroad (AHKs) in 150 locations in 93 countries, affiliated with the German Chambers of Commerce and Industry (DIHK) in Berlin, supported by The Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action (BMWK). Since 1994, we have served as a vital link for businesses, fostering bilateral trade and investment between Germany and Vietnam while acting as your bridge-builder and problem-solver.

Email: info(at)vietnam.ahk.de

Website: www.vietnam.ahk.de